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Korea - Definitive Safeguard Measure on Imports of Certain Dairy Products

Report of the Panel

(Continued)


(ii) Effect of the increased import of SMPP on domestic prices

4.573 The Korean authorities next determined the effect of the increased imports of SMPP on domestic prices. The authorities examined the following:

"Import price (Won/kg) of SMPP was 1,750 Won in 1993, 1,689 Won in 1994, 1,709 Won in 1995, and 2,008 Won in the January-April period of 1996. Its sales price (Won/kg) was 2,590 Won in 1993, 2,500 Won in 1994, 2,530 Won in 1995, and 2,971 Won in the January-April period of 1996 258."

As for the domestic milk powder, the sales price (Won/kg) was 5,354 Won in 1993, 5,294 Won in 1994, 5,388 Won in 1995, and 4,994 Won in the January-to-April period of 1996. 259 ;

Price Comparison Between Imports and Domestic Products 260
(unit:Won/kg, Won, %)

1993 1994 1995 1996(1-4)
SMPP Import Price (CIF) 1,750 1,689 1,7092,008
Domestic Sales Price (A) 2,590 2,500 2,530 2,971
Domestic Products Sales Price (B) 5,354 5,294 5,388 4,994
Manufacturing Cost (C) 5,158 5,426 5,860 6,178
Difference (B-C) 196 - 132 - 472 - 1,184
Price Gap B-A 2,764 2,794 2,858 2,023
SMPP's Domestic Market Share( %) 1.6 7.0 12.2 14.0
Notes1) US$=800 Won
2) Domestic Sales Price = Import Price + (Import Price x Customs Duty (40 per cent)) + (Import Price x Expenses and Profit (8 per cent))
3) Domestic Products are based on milk powder.
4) SMPP Market Share = Amount Imported/Amount Consumed
5) Sales Price is average sales price of milk powder produced by the livestock cooperatives.
6) Manufacturing cost is the average manufacturing cost of milk powder produced by the livestock cooperatives.
7) As of August 1996, domestic skimmed milk powder sells at 3,800 Won/kg and the imported SMPP sells at 2,956 Won/kg, the margin being 844 Won/kg.

4.574 The Korean authorities then explained:

(a) "The sales price of SMPP undercut the sales price of the domestic milk powder by 2,764 Won in 1993, 2,796 Won in 1994, 2,858 Won in 1995, and 2,023 Won in the January-April period of 1996. Because the sales price of SMPP was approximately half the price of domestic milk powder, the volume of import of SMPP increased rapidly during the period of investigation.

(b) Because SMPP penetrated the domestic market by taking an increasingly large market share and significantly undercutting the price of domestic milk powder, the price of domestic milk was depressed from 5,354 Won in 1993 to 4,994 Won in the January-April period of 1996.

(c) As the increased import of SMPP depressed domestic price of milk powder, domestic producers' losses grew larger as the domestic sales price could not be increased to keep pace with the rate of production cost increase. These losses were 196 Won in 1993, turning to a loss of 132 Won in 1994, a larger loss of 472 Won in 1995 and a further loss of 1,184 Won in the January-April period of 1996.

(d) In sum, it is apparent that the increase of SMPP and its rapid rise in the market share caused a depression of the domestic sales price which fell below the production cost as of 1994. The large losses have been increasing and this combined with domestic sales price below production cost are causing injury to the domestic industry. 261"

4.575 Therefore, the Korean authorities found that the sales prices for imports of SMPP were significantly undercutting the sales prices of domestic milk powder. As a result, the price of domestic milk powder was severely depressed causing serious injury to the domestic industry.

(iii) Livestock cooperatives' volume of raw milk collected

4.576 The Korean authorities also examined the effect of the low price of SMPP imports on the amount of raw milk collected by the livestock cooperatives. The authorities stated:

"The livestock cooperatives' volume of raw milk collected from dairy households was 40.56 per cent in 1990. The rate grew to 41.36 per cent in 1993, to 42.80 per cent in 1994, to 44.30 per cent in 1995, and to 45.30 per cent in January-June period of 1996." 262

"The increased import of SMPP caused the livestock cooperatives to increase their purchase of raw milk from dairy households, because processing companies that traditionally purchased raw milk from dairy households opted to purchase the much cheaper SMPP. The increased collection of raw milk by the livestock cooperatives caused the deterioration of their business operation, because the displaced raw milk had to be converted into milk powder inventory (see VI.2.A. first paragraph). 263"

Livestock Cooperatives' Volume of Raw Milk Collected 264
(unit:%)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996(1-6)
Cooperatives' Portion 40.56 41.14 40.19 41.36 42.844.3 45.3
Compared Against Basis Year 100 101.4 99 101.9 105.5 109.2 112
Data:Provided by the MAF and NLCF to the KTC
Note: Basis year 1990

4.577 In Korea's view, the above table refutes the EC argument that raw milk collection by the cooperatives was "slowly but steadily rising" and the increases in SMPP imports "did not affect a trend." As the table shows, the cooperatives' portion actually declined to below its 1990 level in 1992 and the portion increased substantially during the investigation period by approximately 12 per cent from 1990 to June 1996 and by 10 per cent from 1993 to June 1996.

(iv) Production of white milk and flavoured milk

4.578 The Korean authorities also examined the extent to which the cheaper SMPP caused the shift from the production of white milk (which can only use domestic raw milk as an input) to the production of flavoured milk. The authorities stated:

"Of the total amount of milk produced, white milk accounted for 92.9 per cent in 1990, 92.4 per cent in 1991 and 92.4 per cent in 1992, maintaining almost the same level. However, the share of white milk decreased with the rapid increase in import of SMPP. The share of white milk fell to 91.3 per cent in 1993, to 88.6 per cent in 1994, to 83.8 per cent in 1995, and to 82.1 per cent in the January-June period of 1996.

The decline in the production of white milk occurred because the domestic producer chose to use the cheaper SMPP to produce flavoured milk which was favoured by the wholesalers and retailers for the product's higher profit margin.

The decline in the share of white milk which can only be produced from domestic raw milk depressed the demand for domestic raw milk. 265"

Portion of White Milk in Relation to Flavoured Milk Produced
(unit:%)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996(1-6)
White Milk 92.9 92.4 92.4 91.3 88.6 83.8 82.1
Flavoured Milk 7.1 7.6 7.6 8.7 11.4 16.2 17.9
Data: Provided by the MAF to the KTC

4.579 Thus, the cheap SMPP caused a shift of production from white milk to flavoured milk. This shift led to a decline in the use of raw milk by the milk processing companies which in turn led to the increased collection of raw milk by the livestock cooperatives for conversion into milk powder. Contrary to the EC contention, the Korean authorities considered that the shift to flavoured milk production was not the result of consumer preferences but because the cheaper SMPP allowed for the realization of higher profit margins. The European Communities are simply expressing their disagreement with the judgement of the Korean authorities without any evidence. However, the Korean authorities must be accorded due deference in interpreting the data collected rather than being second guessed by a third party.

(v) Impact of SMPP on the sale of domestic products

4.580 The Korean authorities examined the impact of cheap SMPP imports on the sale of domestic products. First, with respect to the decline in price, the authorities stated that "[t]he comparatively cheaper priced SMPP and the increased volume of SMPP caused the sales price of domestic milk powder to fall [in real and nominal terms], resulting in the loss of sales revenue in the [specified amounts from 1993 to] the first four months of 1996." Second, with respect to the loss of sales revenue due to loss of customers, "[b]ecause the imported SMPP is cheaper than the domestic raw milk and milk powder, [two entities] incurred a loss in sales revenue amounting to a total of x,xxx million Won in the period of 1995 to April 1996 as a consequence of their erosion of the customer base 266."

(vi) Market share of SMPP against total demand

4.581 With regard to the market share taken by the increased imports of SMPP, the Korean authorities found that:

"Import of SMPP amounted to 3,217 tons in 1993, 15,561 tons in 1994, 28,007 tons in 1995, and 16,320 tons in the January-to-June [period] of 1996. In terms of the increase rate, it was 384.0 per cent in 1994, 80.0 per cent in 1995, and 16.9 per cent in the January-June period of 1996.

The market share of SMPP against total demand was 1.6 per cent in 1993, 7.0 per cent in 1994, 12.2 per cent in 1995, and 14.1 per cent in the January-June period of 1996, the rate growing larger every year.267"

Changes in Market Share of SMPP
(unit: ton)

1993 1994 1995 1996.1-6
Increase rate(%) Increase rate(%) Increase rate(%)
Total Demand (A) 2,205,063 2,218,5489.6 2,303,795 3.8 1,153,964 - 2.3
Production (B) 1,857,873 1,917,398 3.2 1,998,445 4.2 1,069,224 4.4
Import of SMPP
(C)
3,217 15,561 384.0 28,007 80.0 16,320 16.9
Market
Share of SMPP
(C/A, %)
1.6 7.0 - 12.2 - 14.1 -
Data: provided by MAF and KITA to the KTC

4.582 Therefore, the Korean authorities found that SMPP's share of total demand (which includes domestic raw milk, domestic milk powder, imported milk powder and imported SMPP) increased during the investigation period from 1.6 per cent in 1993 to 14.1 per cent in the first half of 1996, representing a net increase in market share of 12.5 per cent.

4.583 The Korean authorities determined the extent to which increased imports of SMPP replaced decreased imports of milk powder. The Korean authorities noted:

"As the import of SMPP increased, its market share in the milk powder sector rose from 10.7 per cent in 1993 to 38.4 per cent in 1994, further to 60.6 per cent in 1995 and to 69.4 per cent in the January-June period of 1996." 268

As the import of SMPP increased, however, the amount of milk powder imported decreased from 14,843 tons in 1993 to 11,581 tons in 1994, to 7,576 tons in 1995, and further down to 583 tons in the January-June period of 1996. 269

Changes in Milk Powder Products Domestically Consumed 270
(unit: tonnes)

1993 1994 1995 1996.1-6
Increase rate(%) Increase rate(%) Increase rate(%)
Milk Powder Consumed (A)
-Domestic Milk Powder
Consumed
30,181


12,191
40,532


12,468
34.3


2.3
46,254


10,690
14.1


- 14.3
23,532


6,629
14.5


11.6
Supply Production (B)


Amount Imported
-Milk Powder
- SMPP (C)
13,512


18,060


14,843
3,217
9,495


27,142


11,581
15,561
- 29.7


50.3


- 22.0
384.0
15,719


35,583


7,576
28,007
65.6


30.9


- 35.0
80.0
15,058


16,903


583
16,320
93.3


5.0


-84.0
16.9
Total 31,572 36,637 16.0 51,302 40.0 31,961 25.9
Inventory 4,509 1,517-66.4 6,565 332.814,994 342.7
SMPP's Market Share (C/A) 10.7 38.4 -60.6 -69.4 -
Data: provided by MAF, KITA to the KTC

4.584 The imports of milk powder essentially entered at a tariff rate exceeding 200 per cent, while imports of SMPP entered at a rate of only 40 per cent. 271 Given the tariff differential, imports of SMPP replaced the entire volume of imported milk powder during the investigation period and also captured all of the 90 per cent increased volume of total milk powder and SMPP imports. 272 Thus, the European Communities claim argument that "much of the increase" of SMPP was at the expense of imported milk powder ignores the fact that the Korean authorities determined that the imports of SMPP far outweighed the decline in milk powder imports. 273

To continue with The Korean authorities considered the extent


258 OAI Report at 62. See, also Notification at IV.3.7.

259 OAI Report at 63. See, also Notification at V.1.2.

260 OAI Report at 63. See, also Notification at V.1.2.

261 OAI Report at 63. See, also Notification at V.1.2. Korea submits the following regarding the EC's arguments:

In its First Submission, the EC contends that the competent authorities limited their analysis to whether increased market share caused a decrease in domestic milk powder price. Korea, however, directs the Panel to the price information for SMPP on page 63 of the OAI Report and in section V.1.2 of the Notification.

In its First Submission, the EC argues that the competent authorities focused solely on the decline in domestic milk powder prices at the end of the investigation. To the contrary, the competent authorities examined the decline in price at the end of the period, the declining price in real terms (i.e., price adjusted by the overall inflation rate) compared to increases in production costs, and the significant difference in price levels between imports of SMPP and domestic milk powder.

In its First Submission and in its Oral Statement, the EC makes several statements that demonstrate it has, intentionally or unintentionally, ignored the OAI Report and the Notification. Korea refers the EC to the OAI Report at 63 and the Notification at IV.3.7 and V.1.2.

262 OAI Report at 64.

263 OAI Report at 64. See, also Notification at V.1.3.

264 OAI Report at 64.

265 OAI Report at 64. See, also Notification at V.1.4.

266 OAI Report at 66.

267 OAI Report at 58 and 59. See, also Notification at V.1.1.

268 OAI Report at 60.

269 OAI Report at 61. See, also Notification at V.1.1.

270 OAI Report at 61.

271 Id.

272 Id. See, OAI Report at 61; Notification at V.2.2 ( uot;the imports of products under investigation grew by 24,790 tons, while those of milk powder fell by 7,267 ton.

273 OAI Report at 61; Notification at V.2.2.